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Shared micromobility as a last-mile transit solution? Spatiotemporal insights from a novel dataset

Map-based visualization of FM and LM transit connecting micromobility trips. Through a data use agreement, we got access to novel dataset (i.e., the 11 Spin post-ride survey dataset) that records thousands of transit-connecting shared e-scooter trips in Washington DC. This unique dataset allows us to address some critical research gaps in prior research on transit and micromobility integration. Specifically, we used the dataset to reveal the spatiotemporal patterns of transit-connecting shared e-scooter trips in Washington DC and to validate the buffer-zone approach commonly used in prior research to infer transit-connecting micromobility trips.

Key words: Extreme heat, transit, microclimate, heat exposure

Yin, Z., Rybarczyk, G., Zheng, A., Su, L., Sun, B., & Yan, X. (2024). Shared micromobility as a first-and last-mile transit solution? Spatiotemporal insights from a novel dataset. Download Preprint. Journal of Transport Geography, 114, 103778.

Can shared e-scooters enhance transit and reduce driving?

Conceptual illustration of shared e-scooters connecting with public transit and replacing driving trips. This study uses survey data collected from Washington, DC and Los Angeles to evaluate if and to what extent shared e-scooters can enhance public transit and reduce driving. Mode choice models further suggest that males, non-Whites, and people without a college degree are more inclined to use shared e-scooters. While survey respondents intend to use shared escooters for short trips only, they are willing to use scoot-N-ride for medium-to-long trips.

Key words: micromobility, transit, new mobility, mode choice

Yan, X., Zhao, X., Broaddus, A., Johnson, J., & Srinivasan, S. (2023). Evaluating shared e-scooters’ potential to enhance public transit and reduce driving. Download Preprint. Transportation research part D: transport and environment, 117, 103640.

Analyzing wildfire evacuation behavior with GPS data

Map-based illustration of wildfire evacuation behavior analysis using GPS data. With increased frequency and intensity due to climate change, wildfires have become a growing global concern. This study proposes a new methodology to analyze human behavior during wildfires by leveraging a large-scale GPS dataset. This methodology includes a home-location inference algorithm and an evacuation-behavior inference algorithm, to systematically identify different groups of wildfire evacuees (i.e., self-evacuee, shadow evacuee, evacuee under warning, and ordered evacuee).

Key words: wildfire, GPS data, evacuation, human behavior

Zhao, X., Xu, Y., Lovreglio, R., Kuligowski, E., Nilsson, D., Cova, T., Wu, A., Yan, X., Cao, Z. Estimating wildfire evacuation decision and departure timing using large-scale GPS data. [Download Preprint]. Transportation research part D: transport and environment, 107, 103277.

Mobility-on-demand vs fixed-route transit systems in low-income communities

Conceptual illustration of mobility-on-demand and fixed-route transit service options for the city of Detroit. Some transit observers envision future public transit to be integrated systems with fixed-route services running along major corridors and ridesourcing servicing lower-density areas. This paper evaluates traveler preferences for a proposed integrated transit system versus the existing fixed-route system, with a particular focus on disadvantaged travelers. Results from low-income communities in Detroit and Ypsilanti suggest that a majority of survey respondents preferred a MOD transit system over a fixed-route one. However, some women may have safety concerns, and low technology self-efficacy can be a more serious barrier for many people to adopt MOD transit.

Key words: mobility on demand, public transit, transport equity

Yan, X., Zhao, X., Han, Y., Van Hentenryck, P., Dillahunt, T. (2021). Mobility-on-demand versus fixed-route transit systems: An evaluation of traveler preferences in low-income communities. [Download Paper]. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 148, 481-495. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2021.03.019

Comparing machine learning and logit models in travel mode choice modeling

Conceptual comparison of machine learning and statistical models for travel mode choice analysis. The increasing popularity of machine learning in transportation research raises questions regarding its advantages and disadvantages compared to conventional logit-family models used for travel behavioral analysis. We provide a comprehensive comparison between logit models and machine learning by examining the key differences in model development, evaluation, and behavioral interpretation in mode-choice modeling. We find that there appears to be a tradeoff between predictive accuracy and behavioral soundness when choosing between machine learning and logit models in mode-choice modeling.

Key words: machine learning, logit model, travel mode choice

Zhao, X., Yan, X., Yu, A., Van Hentenryck, P. (2020). Prediction and behavioral analysis of travel mode choice: A comparison of logit models and machine learning. [Download Preprint]. Travel Behavior and Society, 20, 22-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2020.02.003 (Won the 2020 Outstanding Paper Award)

Joint model of parking-location and travel-mode choices

Illustration of the nested logit model for parking-location and travel-mode choice modeling. This paper calibrates a joint model of travel mode and parking location choice to evaluate the effectiveness of parking-related policies. We found that 1) travelers are very sensitive to changes in egress time, even more so than parking price; 2) travelers respond to parking policies primarily by shifting parking locations rather than switching travel mode.

Key words: parking policy, price elasticity, joint choice mode

Yan, X. (2020). Evaluating household residential preferences for walkability and accessibility across three U.S. regions. [Download Preprint]. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 80, 102255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102255

Traveler preferences for an integrated transit system that combines fixed-route and ridesourcing services

Conceptual illustration of an integrated transit system combining fixed-route transit and ridesourcing services. In recently years, transit agencies have started to consider integrating ridesourcing services (i.e. on-demand, app-driven ridesharing services) with public transit. In this project, we evaluated traveler preferences for this type of integrated transit system. We find that when used to provide convenient last-mile connections, ridesourcing could provide a significant boost to transit ridership.

Key words: Ridesourcing, public transit, travel behavior, mode choice

Yan, X., Levine, J., Zhao, X. (2019). Integrating ridesourcing services with public transit: An evaluation of traveler responses combining revealed and stated preference data. [Download Preprint]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 105, 683-696. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2018.07.029