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Predicting ridesourcing demand with machine learning

Map visualization of ridesourcing trip flows used for demand prediction. As ridesourcing continues to grow in popularity, being able to accurately predict the demand for it is essential for effective land-use and transportation planning and policymaking. In this research project, we show that using random forest, a machine learning model that can automatically capture nonlinear relationships and interactive effects, can significantly improve predictive accuracy compared to the traditional statistical model.

Key words: random forest, machine learning, travel demand prediction

Yan, X., Liu, X., Zhao, X. (2020). Using machine learning for direct demand modeling of ridesourcing services in Chicago. [Download Preprint]. Journal of Transport Geography, 83, 102661.